Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.975135 2.068844 2.168497 2.283082 2.412142 2.554180 2.724004
2025-10-26 1.873175 1.993328 2.125927 2.285010 2.473406 2.693181 2.975134
2025-11-02 1.780292 1.913403 2.063824 2.249447 2.477046 2.754076 3.129512
2025-11-09 1.717597 1.861014 2.026279 2.235147 2.499158 2.833203 3.310449
2025-11-16 1.667279 1.818670 1.996007 2.224776 2.521818 2.911248 3.496719
2025-11-23 1.622873 1.780175 1.966998 2.212280 2.538386 2.979960 3.676970
2025-11-30 1.595501 1.760267 1.958773 2.224288 2.586450 3.094913 3.944982
2025-12-07 1.540029 1.703358 1.901379 2.168452 2.537005 3.063254 3.968008
2025-12-14 1.508500 1.674703 1.878099 2.155853 2.545983 3.117818 4.146113
2025-12-21 1.475296 1.642621 1.848902 2.133399 2.538757 3.145934 4.280897
2025-12-28 1.464176 1.637683 1.854075 2.157258 2.599380 3.285998 4.659741
2026-01-04 1.460011 1.641154 1.869956 2.196221 2.684798 3.476851 5.205611
2026-01-11 1.436104 1.619327 1.852623 2.189076 2.701749 3.557435 5.547479
2026-01-18 1.417617 1.603777 1.842849 2.191857 2.733902 3.668883 6.016717
2026-01-25 1.387629 1.572310 1.810449 2.160130 2.708280 3.669400 6.182356
2026-02-01 1.366256 1.551521 1.791794 2.147559 2.712759 3.727933 6.553252
2026-02-08 1.347303 1.533361 1.776053 2.138422 2.722005 3.796831 7.002986
2026-02-15 1.328647 1.515080 1.759509 2.127226 2.726800 3.857160 7.469928
2026-02-22 1.318639 1.507947 1.758009 2.138401 2.770255 4.005108 8.439322
2026-03-01 1.288265 1.472928 1.716731 2.087319 2.702101 3.900567 8.167228
2026-03-08 1.272211 1.456822 1.701553 2.075829 2.703175 3.951487 8.728937
2026-03-15 1.253836 1.437221 1.680973 2.055242 2.686861 3.961073 9.095542
2026-03-22 1.249987 1.437077 1.687728 2.077222 2.748273 4.161391 10.981897